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Tag Archives: flooding

Ian threatens western Cuba and much of Florida

Tropical Storm Ian is expected to become a hurricane by Monday morning (9/26/22) and a major hurricane (winds above 110mph) by Tuesday morning.  The hurricane is then expected to continue trekking northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico with a landfall predicted near the Florida Big Bend on Thursday (Fig.

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A Rainy Weekend Begins

A tropical weather system (as yet unnamed) is heading toward southwest Florida.  Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center expect the system to become better organized and become a tropical storm later today (Friday, June 3, 2022).  Once named, Alex (click here for information about naming tropical storms and hurricanes) will

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Lots of Weather Hazards Today in SW Florida (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

A line of heavy thunderstorms is currently (8:45 a.m. E.S.T.) approaching southwest Florida.  Ahead of this line, several isolated strong storms have developed, some of which have shown signs of becoming severe and/or tornadic.  One such storm passed by Cape Coral about an hour ago and is racing rapidly to

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Eta’s zig-zag track continues (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

The other day, I used the word “serpentine” to describe Eta’s past and expected movements.  Eta has not disappointed. First, the storm moved westward, then headed northward along the Central American coast; and then northeastward toward the Central part of Cuba (where it resided earlier this Sunday morning).  The storm

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Eta to affect southwest Florida this weekend (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Tropical Depression Eta (Fig. 1) is almost back to tropical storm strength; the latest 3 a.m. CST advisory (Friday) places peak sustained winds at 35 miles per hour.  As Eta, currently moving slowly northward, starts moving northeastward during the next few hours, the storm will traverse warm ocean waters and

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Eta, soon to be a tropical storm again, to affect south Florida this weekend (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

With weak upper-level steering currents, past major Hurricane Eta is now just tropical depression Eta.  The system land-falled in central America where mountainous terrain and the loss of warm ocean waters (its fuel supply) sent the storm into rapid decline.  Now Eta is expected to move back over the western

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Tropical Depression, now Sally, Collier County rainfall summary

Two days ago, I wrote about expected rainfall from then Tropical Depression (TD) 19.  At that time, I noted that forecasts called for two to four inches of precipitation across southwest Florida, especially along and to the west of I-75 during the weekend (Fig.1).  As is always the case, I

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From Drought To Flood (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

About 10 days ago, a major brush fire (linked to a growing drought) erupted to the east of Naples, along I75.   The fire eventually grew to more than 8,000 acres.  Today, the same area is under a Flood Watch (Fig. 1) meaning that some two to four inches rainfall could

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Dangerous Irma Targeting Naples (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

As of late yesterday afternoon, downtown Naples, U.S. Highway 41 (Tamiami Trail), and Naples/Collier County beaches resembled a ghost town. One could drive down Gulfshore Boulevard (a thoroughfare about a block or so from the beach) and perhaps see one or two cars. Fig. 1 shows the scene sans vehicles.

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Heavy rainfall gradients and rainfall rates (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Across Louisiana, Mississippi and parts of far East Texas, torrential rainfall occurred Sunday and Sunday night. Widespread one to four inch rainfall amounts were reported, with some locations noting amounts of six, eight and even ten inches (Fig. 1). Alexandria, LA, in the west-central part of the state, reported more

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